Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Russian Casualties Are Becoming Unsustainable: The Numbers Behind the War's Vibe Shift
Russia has lost more men in a single month in Ukraine than in the entire Soviet-Afghan War. We examine the casualty data, drones, and what it means.
The Blueprint for an Invasion of South Korea: How a Second Korean War Would Unfold
A phase-by-phase analysis of how a second Korean War could begin, escalate, and draw in the United States, China, and Russia on a divided peninsula.
Is Ukraine Winning? What Victory Day 2026 Revealed About Russia's War
A scaled-back Red Square parade and a Zelenskyy taunt exposed a deeper truth: Russia's war machine is faltering at the front, the back lines, and at home.
Iran War Update: 'Love Taps,' Project Freedom, and a Secret Israeli Base in Iraq
A fragile Iran ceasefire is tested by fresh strikes, a stalled MOU, a secret Israeli base in Iraq, and China's quiet push for peace ahead of a Trump-Xi summit.
Russia's 2026 Spring Offensive: Grinding Toward Sloviansk Against the Fortress Belt
Four years and a million casualties in, Russia's 2026 spring offensive grinds on—battered recruitment, a drone-saturated kill zone, and gains measured in meters.
Iran Strikes the UAE and US Warships as the Hormuz Blockade Bites
Iran fires missiles at the UAE and US warships over the Hormuz blockade, Hezbollah refuses to disarm, and the US pulls 5,000 troops from Germany.