Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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Now or Never: Why 2026 Could Be Xi's Closing Window on Taiwan
A 2027 invasion was conventional wisdom, but a distracted world, a divided Taiwan, and a malleable Washington may convince Beijing the time is now.
Is the U.S. Military Losing Its Edge? What the War With Iran Exposed
The war with Iran exposed drone vulnerabilities, interceptor shortages, and eroding alliances behind America's trillion-dollar military machine.
Vladimir Putin's Time Is Running Out
Elite fractures, Ukrainian deep strikes, public dissent, and a collapsing international position converge on a paranoid Putin in the spring of 2026.
Mogadishu Rising: Somalia's New Alliances and the Proxy War Taking Shape
Somalia's federal government is consolidating power through new foreign alliances, drawing the Horn of Africa into a fast-heating regional proxy conflict.
Russia Is Failing in Africa: How the Sahel Project Unravelled
Russia's Africa Corps was sold to the Sahel's juntas as the cure for jihadist violence. After Kidal fell and Mali burned, the project is unravelling.
The Invisible Purges in Venezuela: How Delcy Rodriguez Remade a Regime
After Maduro's capture, Vice President Delcy Rodriguez has quietly purged his loyalists and remade Venezuela under Washington's watch — but at democracy's expense.