Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Assad Loyalists Are Plotting a Comeback in Syria — and It's Falling Apart
Exiled Assad loyalists in Russia and Lebanon are competing to revive the old Syrian regime, but money, rivalry, and a stabilizing Syria are sinking the plot.
The Biggest Losers of the Iran War So Far: How the Conflict Spilled Past Iran's Borders
A region-by-region map of the Iran War's global fallout, from the Gulf's desalination crisis to India's fuel shock, Cyprus, Lebanon, and Asia's energy triage.
What If BRICS Became a Military Alliance?
A defense analysis of whether the BRICS bloc could become a NATO-style military alliance, its combined firepower, and why collective defense remains unlikely.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Could Canada Become Europe's Arsenal? The Case for a New Trans-Atlantic Defense Pact
Europe needs weapons it can't build fast enough, and Canada has idle industrial capacity. Inside the case for Canada becoming Europe's defense arsenal.
China's Invisible Navy: How a Fishing Fleet Became a Strategic Weapon in the East China Sea
Thousands of Chinese maritime militia vessels are massing in geometric formations off Shanghai, testing a force that could decide a Taiwan invasion while Washington looks elsewhere.
More in Geopolitics & Strategy
China's Population Crisis and the Limits of Its Military Ambitions
China's population is falling fast, and the demographic decline threatens Beijing's economy, pension system, and the modernized military Xi Jinping envisions.
Now or Never: Why 2026 Could Be Xi's Closing Window on Taiwan
A 2027 invasion was conventional wisdom, but a distracted world, a divided Taiwan, and a malleable Washington may convince Beijing the time is now.
Conflicts to Watch in 2026: The World's Flashpoints Go Hot
A region-by-region forecast of 2026's most dangerous flashpoints, from Venezuela and Ecuador to Syria, the Horn of Africa, Sudan, Ukraine, and Taiwan.
Could Russia and China Attack America's Allies Together?
Why a coordinated Russian and Chinese assault on America's allies isn't zero-percent likely, how an "Asian NATO" really works, and what Moldova's vote revealed.
Could the United States Ever Be Invaded? A War-Gaming Analysis
Could a unified global coalition invade the continental US without nuclear weapons? A war-gaming analysis of why geography makes it nearly impossible.
Cuba Is Next: Inside Washington's Pressure Campaign to Topple Havana
How a US fuel blockade, financial strangulation, and backchannel talks aim to force regime change in Cuba without firing a shot.