Eastern Europe
Ukraine, Russia, NATO posture, deterrence, and the wider security architecture of Eastern Europe.
235 Dispatches
Ukraine Has Placed Crimea Under Siege
How Ukrainian mid-range drone warfare is strangling Crimea's supply lines, creating a resource trap that threatens to make Russia's prized peninsula ungovernable.
Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
Russian Casualties Are Becoming Unsustainable: The Numbers Behind the War's Vibe Shift
Russia has lost more men in a single month in Ukraine than in the entire Soviet-Afghan War. We examine the casualty data, drones, and what it means.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
The Blueprint for an Invasion of South Korea: How a Second Korean War Would Unfold
A phase-by-phase analysis of how a second Korean War could begin, escalate, and draw in the United States, China, and Russia on a divided peninsula.
Germany's Rearmament: Has the Fiscal Bazooka Fixed the Bundeswehr?
A year after Germany's fiscal bazooka unlocked record defense spending, the Bundeswehr still faces logistics, industrial, and manpower gaps. The verdict so far.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
Is Ukraine Winning? What Victory Day 2026 Revealed About Russia's War
A scaled-back Red Square parade and a Zelenskyy taunt exposed a deeper truth: Russia's war machine is faltering at the front, the back lines, and at home.
Is the U.S. Military Losing Its Edge? What the War With Iran Exposed
The war with Iran exposed drone vulnerabilities, interceptor shortages, and eroding alliances behind America's trillion-dollar military machine.
Russia's 2026 Spring Offensive: Grinding Toward Sloviansk Against the Fortress Belt
Four years and a million casualties in, Russia's 2026 spring offensive grinds on—battered recruitment, a drone-saturated kill zone, and gains measured in meters.
Vladimir Putin's Time Is Running Out
Elite fractures, Ukrainian deep strikes, public dissent, and a collapsing international position converge on a paranoid Putin in the spring of 2026.