Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Boots on the Ground: Donald Trump's Nightmare Scenario in Venezuela
Analysis of how Trump's Venezuela operation creates a strategic paradox forcing potential large-scale troop deployment despite his opposition to foreign in
Iran on the Brink: Economic Collapse, Mass Protests, and Imminent Military Action
Iran faces existential crisis with currency collapse, nationwide protests across 28 provinces, and imminent Israeli military strikes as regime weakens.
The Most Overlooked Conflicts of 2025, Ranked
A ranked survey of 2025's most ignored wars — from the Sahel and Cameroon to Haiti, the Congo, Papua, and Sudan, the year's most underreported conflict.
The Most Important Battles of 2025: Egghead Island, Jeju Island, and Shangri-La Frontier
A field analysis of 2025's most consequential battles, from Egghead Island and Jeju Island to the depths of Shangri-La Frontier, and why each one mattered.
The Crisis in Haiti, Explained: How Gangs Captured a Nation
How armed gangs seized 90% of Port-au-Prince, why the Haitian state collapsed, and what it would take to pull the nation back from the brink.
ISIS Killed Three Americans in Syria: Inside the Islamic State's Dangerous Resurgence
ISIS killed three Americans in Syria on December 13th. Inside the Islamic State's dangerous comeback across Syria and what it means for global security.