Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
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Turkey is on Fire. Here's Why.
Mass protests erupted across Turkey after the arrest of Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu. Why Erdogan moved against his main rival, and what it means for Turkish democracy.
America's New Fighter Jet, China's Invasion Ships, and More.
Situation Room 3.31.2025: Bombers Massing on Diego Garcia; Introducing the F-47 Fighter; China’s New Invasion Ships. Welcome to the Situation Room. This we
When the Red Button Falls: The Unraveling After a Global Nuclear War
On the first day of 2050, the world’s celebratory fireworks were eclipsed by a cascade of miniature suns that turned cities and military bases into instant
South Sudan is on Fire. Here's Why. (And More)
South Sudan is sliding back toward civil war, with a claim to being the world's most dangerous conflict hotspot. Why it is burning, and what follows.
Ukraine's Kursk Incursion Is Over. Was It Worth It?
Ukraine's Kursk incursion humiliated Moscow and stunned the world. With the salient now largely lost, was the gamble worth what it cost Kyiv?
Israel has Shattered the Ceasefire in Gaza. Here's What You Need to Know.
Israel Has Shattered the Ceasefire in Gaza. Here’s What You Need to Know. Introduction. In the early-morning hours of March the eighteenth, the fragile tru