Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Haiti's Gangs Seek Political Power Amid Humanitarian Crisis
Gang leader Jimmy 'Barbecue' Chérizier aims to turn Viv Ansanm into a political party as Haiti faces state collapse and a severe humanitarian crisis.
Guerrilla War Erupts on Colombia-Venezuela Border: ELN's Catatumbo Offensive
ELN launches full-scale assault in Catatumbo killing 100+ and displacing 20,000. Analysis of the conflict, Venezuelan involvement theory, and government re
The Myanmar Civil War: The War of a Hundred Armies
How a 2021 coup ignited the world's most fragmented conflict, where a hundred-plus rebel armies are dismantling Myanmar's military regime piece by piece.
North Korean Troops Are Failing in Kursk, But That May Not Matter to Kim Jong-Un
North Korean soldiers suffer heavy losses in Kursk, but Kim Jong-Un views the deployment as a strategic win regardless of battlefield performance.
Gaza Ceasefire Agreement and Regional Geopolitical Shifts in the Middle East and North Africa
Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement reached January 2025. Assad's fall triggers Russian repositioning in Libya while Turkey expands Mediterranean influence.
Turkey Threatens Eradication of Kurdish Forces in Syria as Regional Tensions Escalate
Turkey's foreign minister declares YPG eradication imminent. Over 100 killed in January 2025 clashes. Syria's new government faces impossible choice betwee