Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
The Fall of the Syrian Regime: How Bashar al-Assad Was Finally Overthrown
Comprehensive analysis of Assad regime's collapse in December 2024. Explore HTS offensive, Aleppo's fall, and nationwide rebel advances that ended 50 years
Aleppo Has Fallen in 2024: How HTS Rebels Captured Syria's Largest City in Days
HTS-led rebel offensive captures Aleppo in four days, November 2024. Regime forces retreat as Operation Deterrence of Aggression advances toward Damascus.
Israel and Lebanon Have a Ceasefire: What Happens Next
Israel and Lebanon agree to ceasefire on Nov 27, 2024. Hezbollah withdraws from southern Lebanon over 60 days. Details on enforcement and what's next.
What Would a China-India War Actually Look Like? A Comprehensive Analysis
Comprehensive analysis of a potential China-India conflict: military capabilities, air superiority, nuclear deterrents, and strategic outcomes.
The Art of War: The Anatomy and Global History of Rebellion
Explore the fundamental mechanics of rebellion, from ancient uprisings in Athens to modern insurgencies in the Middle East, Myanmar, and global
Haiti's Unnoticed Collapse: From Gang Violence to Open Civil War
Discover how Haiti's crisis has escalated from isolated gang violence into a devastating civil war, forcing mass displacement and widespread famine.