Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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The US Has Cut Off Venezuelan Oil: How Trump's Reversal Could Devastate Caracas
How Trump's withdrawal of Biden-era oil licences, the green transition, and a looming glut threaten Venezuela's petrostate economy and its dirtiest crude.
Russia’s Quiet Libyan Gambit: A New Frontier in Its Global Strategy
As the war in Ukraine dominates headlines, Moscow is quietly reshaping its global posture in a direction few have noticed. The pivot toward Libya—an arena
Poland Wants to Go Nuclear: How a Single Sentence Signaled a New Age of Proliferation
Donald Tusk's nuclear remark to the Sejm, plus rising tension across Taiwan, Syria, and Pakistan's Balochistan, mark a more dangerous global moment.
Make European Defense Great Again: Inside the EU's Plan to Rearm
Inside the EU's emergency summit and the 800-billion-euro ReArm Europe plan, from the fiscal escape clause to the loans, legal hurdles, and hard math.
How to Protect a Ukrainian DMZ: Europe's Challenge in Deterring Future Russian Aggression
How European forces can deter Russian aggression in post-ceasefire Ukraine without major US troop deployment, leveraging air, naval, and coalition strategi
Betrayal in Munich: America's Stunning Rebuke of NATO and Ukraine at the 2025 Security Conference
Analysis of the 2025 Munich Security Conference where the US signaled reduced NATO commitment, excluded Ukraine from Russia talks, and shifted transatlanti