Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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America's Foreign Aid Freeze and China's Fusion Gamble: Two Shifts in the Global Balance
How a total US foreign aid freeze ripples through conflict zones worldwide, and why a giant Chinese fusion facility in Mianyang carries nuclear weapons implications.
Was DeepSeek Really China's Sputnik Moment? Analyzing the Geopolitical Implications of AI Breakthrough
Analyzing DeepSeek's AI breakthrough, market impact, geopolitical implications, and whether it truly represents a Sputnik moment in U.S.-China competition.
Situation Room AMA: Rojava, Mozambique, the Afghan-Pakistan Flashpoint, and Why Europe Isn't a Superpower
A reader-driven survey of four under-covered fault lines — Kurdish-run Rojava, Mozambique's post-election revolt, the Afghan-Pakistani border war, and Europe's unrealized power.
Joe Biden's Foreign Policy Legacy: The Tarnished Record of America's 46th President
A region-by-region assessment of Joe Biden's foreign policy, from the Afghanistan withdrawal and Ukraine to the Middle East, China, Haiti, and Africa.
World War Three: Who Would Fight, Who Would Ally, and Where the Battles Would Rage
Analysis of hypothetical WW3 coalitions: Western bloc vs Axis of Disorder, key allies, fence-sitters, and three primary theatres of conflict.
Greenland's Strategic Value in the New Arctic Cold War
Explore why Greenland is the ultimate geopolitical prize. Discover the strategic value of its untapped resources and military importance in the Arctic.