Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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The Resurgence of the Syrian Civil War: Escalating Violence in 2024
Discover how the Syrian Civil War is restarting in 2024, driven by an ISIS resurgence, lucrative drug trades, and escalating regional violence.
Why Russia, China, and North Korea Abandoned Iran
When Israel and America bombed Iran, the Axis of Upheaval did nothing. Here is why Russia, China, and North Korea left their partner to fight alone.
America's Nuclear Strategy Pivots to China: Preparing for a Three-Against-One Nuclear Threat
Biden's 2024 Nuclear Employment Guidance shifts US deterrence from Russia to China for the first time, preparing for coordinated threats from China, Russia
Germany's Debt-Brake Crisis: How Constitutional Fiscal Rules Are Undermining Ukraine's Defense
Germany imposes moratorium on new military aid to Ukraine due to constitutional debt limits, threatening Europe's second-largest donor and emboldening Puti
Rinat Akhmetov: Ukraine's Richest Man and Most Complicated Backer
Explore Rinat Akhmetov's rise from Donetsk to Ukraine's wealthiest oligarch, his controversial past, and his critical role in the war.
Iran Wants to Go Nuclear: Which Other States Might Get the Bomb?
Iran is closest to nuclear weapons with days of breakout time. South Korea and Saudi Arabia also weigh nuclear options amid shifting geopolitical threats.