Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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Could North Korea Collapse? What Regime Implosion Would Mean for the World
Examining whether the Kim regime could fall, what triggered the DPRK's latest food crisis, and why a North Korean collapse would shake the entire world.
Frozen Conflicts: Predicting the Sites of Future Wars
Frozen conflicts from Taiwan to Kosovo to northeast Syria represent the most likely sites of future wars. Learn how these unresolved wars reignite.
The Porcupine Strategy: How Taiwan Plans to Survive a Chinese Invasion
Inside Taiwan's deterrence doctrine, the Overall Defense Concept, and the war games that reveal what survival against a Chinese invasion would actually cost.
Russia's Energy War Loss: A Geopolitical Analysis
When Russian troops crossed into Ukraine in February 2022, Vladimir Putin anticipated a swift victory and a continent held hostage by energy dependence.
Russia's Apparent Coup Attempt: What Just Happened?
Analysis of the Wagner Group's June 2023 march on Moscow, Prigozhin's rebellion against Russia's military leadership, and the implications for Putin's
Should Ireland Join NATO? The Case for and Against Ending Neutrality
Ireland's military neutrality faces its biggest test since WWII. Explore the NATO debate, defense gaps, Russian threats, and Dublin's path forward.