Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Assad Loyalists Are Plotting a Comeback in Syria — and It's Falling Apart
Exiled Assad loyalists in Russia and Lebanon are competing to revive the old Syrian regime, but money, rivalry, and a stabilizing Syria are sinking the plot.
The Biggest Losers of the Iran War So Far: How the Conflict Spilled Past Iran's Borders
A region-by-region map of the Iran War's global fallout, from the Gulf's desalination crisis to India's fuel shock, Cyprus, Lebanon, and Asia's energy triage.
What If BRICS Became a Military Alliance?
A defense analysis of whether the BRICS bloc could become a NATO-style military alliance, its combined firepower, and why collective defense remains unlikely.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Could Canada Become Europe's Arsenal? The Case for a New Trans-Atlantic Defense Pact
Europe needs weapons it can't build fast enough, and Canada has idle industrial capacity. Inside the case for Canada becoming Europe's defense arsenal.
China's Invisible Navy: How a Fishing Fleet Became a Strategic Weapon in the East China Sea
Thousands of Chinese maritime militia vessels are massing in geometric formations off Shanghai, testing a force that could decide a Taiwan invasion while Washington looks elsewhere.
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Killswitch Disengage: Why America's Allies Are Abandoning U.S. Weapons
Why Canada, Europe, and East Asian allies are walking away from American weapons—from F-35 kill-switch fears to a collapse of trust in Washington.
Kremlin Propaganda: What the Russian Public Is Told About the War
How Russian state television manufactures atrocities, denies defeats, and criminalizes dissent to control how the public understands the war in Ukraine.
Mogadishu Rising: Somalia's New Alliances and the Proxy War Taking Shape
Somalia's federal government is consolidating power through new foreign alliances, drawing the Horn of Africa into a fast-heating regional proxy conflict.
How Morocco Won Western Sahara at the Negotiating Table, Not on the Battlefield
After 55 years of conflict, Morocco's diplomatic campaign and a new autonomy plan have all but sealed its control of Western Sahara over the Polisario Front.
NATO's 2% Rule: Who Is (and Isn't) Paying Their Way
A clear-eyed look at NATO's 2% defense spending target—what it actually means, who hits it, and which members remain the alliance's freeriders.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.