Middle East

Regional security, proxy networks, escalation risk, and conflict diplomacy across the Middle East.

181 Dispatches

The Houthis Enter the Iran War: Bab al-Mandeb, a Failed Kurdish Plan, and a Regime Fracturing
Conflicts & Crises

The Houthis Enter the Iran War: Bab al-Mandeb, a Failed Kurdish Plan, and a Regime Fracturing

The Houthis open a new front in the Iran war, raising the specter of a Bab al-Mandeb closure as a secret Kurdish ground plan collapses and Tehran fractures.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Who's Winning the Iran War? Tactical Dominance, Strategic Deadlock
Conflicts & Crises

Who's Winning the Iran War? Tactical Dominance, Strategic Deadlock

The US and Israel dominate the battlefield against Iran, yet the Islamic Republic still stands. Why neither side is winning the war.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Starting the Iran War Was Easy. Stopping It Will Be Hard
Geopolitics & Strategy

Starting the Iran War Was Easy. Stopping It Will Be Hard

Why Washington, the Gulf states, and Israel cannot agree on an off-ramp from the Iran war, and why Tehran may end up deciding when the fighting stops.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Could Iran Become a Failed State? The War's Darkest Endgame
Conflicts & Crises

Could Iran Become a Failed State? The War's Darkest Endgame

Why a collapsed Iran—divided among warlords, separatists, and proxies—may be the one war outcome the US and Israel could quietly live with.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Pakistan and Afghanistan Are Still at War: The Cross-Border Conflict the World Stopped Watching
Conflicts & Crises

Pakistan and Afghanistan Are Still at War: The Cross-Border Conflict the World Stopped Watching

As the Iran war dominates headlines, Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban have descended into open conflict, with airstrikes on Kabul, daily border skirmishes, and tens of thousands displaced.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Iran's New Supreme Leader: Mojtaba Khamenei and the War's Second Week
Conflicts & Crises

Iran's New Supreme Leader: Mojtaba Khamenei and the War's Second Week

Mojtaba Khamenei is named Iran's next Supreme Leader as the Iran-Israel-US war enters its second week, with strikes spreading across the Gulf.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
The Middle East Agrees: Iran Must Fall
Conflicts & Crises

The Middle East Agrees: Iran Must Fall

Nineteen days into the Iran war, Israeli strikes have killed two repression chiefs, the Gulf has turned on Tehran, and a second front rages in Lebanon.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Why Russia and China Abandoned Iran in Its Hour of Need
Geopolitics & Strategy

Why Russia and China Abandoned Iran in Its Hour of Need

Iran expected its partners to rally when the US and Israel struck. Instead, Russia and China stood aside—and the reasons reveal a hard strategic logic.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
The Iran Ceasefire: What We Know and What We Don't
Conflicts & Crises

The Iran Ceasefire: What We Know and What We Don't

A two-week ceasefire pauses the Iran war as competing US and Iranian peace plans, immense pressure, and an open question over whether it holds.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Why Hasn't America Attacked Iran Yet? Reading the Buildup Behind the Pause
Conflicts & Crises

Why Hasn't America Attacked Iran Yet? Reading the Buildup Behind the Pause

The US massed overwhelming force around Iran, then held fire. Reading the military movements and back-channel talks to explain Washington's pause.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Assad Loyalists Are Plotting a Comeback in Syria — and It's Falling Apart
Geopolitics & Strategy

Assad Loyalists Are Plotting a Comeback in Syria — and It's Falling Apart

Exiled Assad loyalists in Russia and Lebanon are competing to revive the old Syrian regime, but money, rivalry, and a stabilizing Syria are sinking the plot.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
How Powerful Is Turkey? Inside Ankara's Military and Geopolitical Rise
Military & Defense

How Powerful Is Turkey? Inside Ankara's Military and Geopolitical Rise

A deep assessment of Turkey's modernizing military, its control of the Bosporus, and its bid to become an autonomous middle power.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026