Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
If The Ukraine War Ends…What Happens Next? The Strategic Calculus Behind a Frozen Conflict
Explore the strategic calculus behind a potential Ukraine-Russia ceasefire: territorial concessions, military buildup, and the race to prepare for renewed
The War in Ukraine Could End Fast: Breakthrough Negotiations and Potential Compromises
Russia and Ukraine signal willingness to compromise. Trump-Putin summit sparks potential ceasefire talks with territorial concessions and security guarante
Is This the End of the Wagner Group? Russia's Endgame in the Central African Republic
Russia demands Wagner's replacement with Africa Corps in CAR. Explore the mercenary group's deep roots, resistance, and Putin's limited options.
Why High-Profile Russians Keep Falling Out of Buildings: A Pattern of Mysterious Deaths
Since 2022, high-profile Russians have died in suspicious falls from buildings at unprecedented rates. Explore the pattern, victims, and theories.
Ethiopia and Eritrea Are Preparing for War: Tigray Faces Another Catastrophic Conflict
Three years after a ceasefire, Ethiopia and Eritrea are repositioning military forces near their borders, threatening to plunge Tigray into another devasta
The Gaza Humanitarian Foundation: Over a Thousand Civilians Killed at Aid Distribution Sites
Over 1,000 Palestinian civilians killed at Gaza Humanitarian Foundation aid distribution sites since May 2025. Investigation into mass casualties and human