Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
325 articlesLatest
A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
China's Wa State, Russia's Sahel Collapse, Colombia's Slide, and the ISIS Comeback
Four flashpoints converge in 2025: China's Wa State proxy in Myanmar, Wagner's Sahel exit, Colombia's security crisis, and an ISIS resurgence in Iraq and Syria.
Israel and Iran Navigate a Tenuous and Unprecedented Ceasefire
After twelve days of intense aerial bombardment, Israel, Iran, and the United States navigate a fragile and unprecedented ceasefire in the Middle East.
The Wagner Group: Autopsy of a Shadow Army and Its Global Footprint
Discover the intricate operational history, strategic combat deployments, and the dramatic mutiny of the Wagner Group, Russia's most notorious mercenary
America Has Bombed Iran: Analysis of the Strike, Targets, and What Comes Next
Analysis of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities at Natanz, Fordo, and Isfahan. Examines targets, damage assessment, and retaliation risks.
The Israel-Iran War Could Get Much Worse: Critical Red Lines and Escalation Scenarios
Analysis of Israel-Iran conflict escalation risks, from Strait of Hormuz blockades to nuclear weapons development and direct US involvement.
The Israel-Iran War Has Begun: Operation Rising Lion and the Path to Regional Conflict
Israel launches Operation Rising Lion against Iran with massive airstrikes on nuclear facilities and military leadership. Iran prepares major retaliation.