Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Armageddon in Africa: How Sudan Became the World's Worst Crisis
How war between Sudan's army and RSF paramilitaries created a famine that could become the deadliest in decades, threatening millions of lives.
Myanmar's Civil War Has Entered the Endgame: Resistance Forces Close In on Military Junta
Myanmar's military junta faces collapse as resistance forces advance. Explore the Three Brotherhood Alliance, strategic scenarios, and Myanmar's uncertain
Israel's Raids in the West Bank: What Happened, and Why It Matters
Israel launched its largest West Bank military operation in decades across Jenin, Tulkarem, Tubas, and Nablus. Here is what happened and why it matters.
How Many Have Really Died in Gaza? An Analysis of the Death Toll
An analysis of Gaza's contested death toll, examining MoH data, the Lancet letter's 186,000 claim, and what researchers say about the true casualty count.
A Major Middle East Conflict May Have Just Begun
Analysis of the massive Israel-Hezbollah exchange on August 25, 2024, including preemptive IDF strikes, Hezbollah rocket salvos, and regional implications.
Was Ukraine Really Behind the Nord Stream Sabotage? An Analysis of the German Investigation
Examining German intelligence findings on the Nord Stream pipeline explosions and Ukraine's alleged involvement in the September 2022 attack.