Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
325 articlesLatest

A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.

Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.

Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.

Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.

Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.

Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises

Europe’s Last Dictator: Aleksandr Lukashenko
This analysis examines Europe's Last Dictator: Aleksandr Lukashenko in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded, whic

Is the World Underestimating the North Korea Threat?
This analysis examines Is the World Underestimating the North Korea Threat? in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfold

Special Operators: The Night Stalkers, United States.
This analysis examines Special Operators: The Night Stalkers, United States. in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfol

Counting the Dead: How Many Have Really Died in Ukraine?
Analysis of verified Russian and Ukrainian casualty data from BBC-Mediazona counts, probate registry models, and the UA Losses database reveals staggering

Why Famine is Returning as a Weapon of War
This analysis examines Why Famine is Returning as a Weapon of War in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded, which

NATO's History and Expansion (A Warographics Short Briefing)
This analysis examines NATO's History and Expansion (A Warographics Short Briefing) in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core development
