Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
325 articlesLatest
A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Russia's Major Assault on Kharkiv: What You Need to Know
Analysis of Russia's May 2024 assault on Kharkiv Oblast, its strategic goals toward Chasiv Yar and Donbas, and what it means for Ukraine's defense.
Turkey: The Clever Man in the Middle
This analysis examines Turkey: The Clever Man in the Middle in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded, which instit
India vs Pakistan: Four Wars, a Nuclear Standoff, and a Cycle of Terror
How partition in 1947 set India and Pakistan on a path of four wars, cross-border terrorism, and a nuclear standoff that still defines South Asia.
Ukraine Aid is Finally On its Way. Will it Be Enough?
This analysis examines Ukraine Aid is Finally On its Way. Will it Be Enough? in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfol
What Would a Second US Civil War Really Look Like?
This analysis examines What Would a Second US Civil War Really Look Like? in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded
Myanmar's Unwinnable Civil War: Stalemate, Drones, and China's Long Game
After five years of war, Myanmar's junta cannot reconquer the country and the rebels cannot topple it. Here is why the conflict has become unwinnable.