Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
The Sahel at War: When the Government Is Worse Than the Jihadists
Across Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso, military juntas backed by Russian mercenaries are killing more civilians than the al-Qaeda insurgency they claim to fight.
The Gaza Disarmament Deadline: Why the Ceasefire Could Split the Strip in Two
Gaza's ceasefire faces a make-or-break disarmament deadline. Inside the Board of Peace plan, Hamas's defiance, and the risk of two Gazas.
Three Deals, No Agreement: Why the US-Iran Ceasefire Collapsed in Twelve Hours
The US-Iran ceasefire fractured within a day over Lebanon, the Strait of Hormuz, and three rival versions of the deal. Here is what fell apart and why.
The Iran Ceasefire: What We Know and What We Don't
Inside the two-week Iran ceasefire over the Strait of Hormuz, the rival US and Iranian peace plans, the pressures that forced both sides to the table, and whether it can hold.
Iran War Update: The F-15 Rescue, a Rejected Ceasefire, and Trump's Hormuz Deadline
How US forces extracted a downed F-15E airman deep inside Iran, why Tehran rejected Pakistan's ceasefire, and the strikes converging on Iran's energy grid.
Ethiopia Has Entered Sudan's War: How Two of the Century's Worst Conflicts Could Merge
How Ethiopia's covert backing of the RSF and the fall of Kurmuk threaten to merge Sudan's civil war with the Tigray War into a regional mega-war.