Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.

Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.

Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.

Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.

Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.

Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises

Iran War Update: The Diego Garcia Strike, the Hormuz Ultimatum, and a War Slipping Out of Control
Iran's missile reach doubles past its declared cap, Trump issues a 48-hour Hormuz ultimatum, and intelligence gaps multiply as the war enters its fourth week.

America Wants Regime Change in Cuba: Inside the Blockade Squeezing Havana
A US energy blockade has plunged Cuba into nationwide blackouts as Washington pushes to topple Miguel Diaz-Canel after Venezuela and Iran.

The World Is Running Out of Air Defenses: Inside Week Three of the Iran War
As the Iran war enters its third week, empty interceptor stockpiles and strikes on oil and gas infrastructure threaten a global energy shock.

The Iran War's Energy Threshold: South Pars, Ras Laffan, and the Point of No Return
An Israeli strike on Iran's South Pars gas field and Iran's retaliation against Qatar's Ras Laffan shattered the unspoken limits restraining the Middle East war.

The Houthis Enter the Iran War: Bab al-Mandeb, a Failed Kurdish Plan, and a Regime Fracturing
The Houthis open a new front in the Iran war, raising the specter of a Bab al-Mandeb closure as a secret Kurdish ground plan collapses and Tehran fractures.

Who's Winning the Iran War? Tactical Dominance, Strategic Deadlock
The US and Israel dominate the battlefield against Iran, yet the Islamic Republic still stands. Why neither side is winning the war.
