Conflicts & Crises

Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.

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The 2008 Russo-Georgian War: Europe's First War of the 21st Century

The 2008 Russo-Georgian War: Europe's First War of the 21st Century

How a five-day war over South Ossetia and Abkhazia killed hundreds, displaced nearly 200,000, and set the stage for Russia's later confrontation with Ukraine.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Is Abiy Ahmed the Most Dangerous Man in Africa? Ethiopia on the Brink

Is Abiy Ahmed the Most Dangerous Man in Africa? Ethiopia on the Brink

How Ethiopia's Nobel Peace laureate Abiy Ahmed presided over the deadly Tigray War and now risks plunging the entire Horn of Africa into collapse.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
The Al-Rashid Incident: Tragic Accident or Deliberate Massacre in Gaza?

The Al-Rashid Incident: Tragic Accident or Deliberate Massacre in Gaza?

A forensic look at the February 29, 2024 aid-convoy deaths on Gaza's Al-Rashid Street, where over 100 died and accounts split between stampede and massacre.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
America Has Bombed Iran: The Strikes, the Targets, and What Matters Now

America Has Bombed Iran: The Strikes, the Targets, and What Matters Now

U.S. B-2 bombers and submarines struck three Iranian nuclear sites on June 22, 2025. Here is what the attack hit, what it likely achieved, and what comes next.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
America Enters Ecuador's Drug War: Joint Strikes, a Border Crisis, and the Civilians in Between

America Enters Ecuador's Drug War: Joint Strikes, a Border Crisis, and the Civilians in Between

U.S. and Ecuadorian forces launched joint strikes against drug-trafficking gangs in March 2026, opening a new phase in a war that has made Ecuador one of Earth's deadliest nations.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
America Wants Regime Change in Cuba: Inside the Blockade Squeezing Havana

America Wants Regime Change in Cuba: Inside the Blockade Squeezing Havana

A US energy blockade has plunged Cuba into nationwide blackouts as Washington pushes to topple Miguel Diaz-Canel after Venezuela and Iran.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026

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Could JNIM Build a Caliphate in West Africa? Inside the Sahel's Most Formidable Jihadist Group

Could JNIM Build a Caliphate in West Africa? Inside the Sahel's Most Formidable Jihadist Group

JNIM is the Sahel's dominant jihadist group, controlling more territory than ever. We examine whether it could declare a caliphate in West Africa.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Could JNIM Build a Caliphate in West Africa? Inside the Sahel's Most Formidable Jihadist Group

Could JNIM Build a Caliphate in West Africa? Inside the Sahel's Most Formidable Jihadist Group

An analysis of whether Al-Qaeda affiliate JNIM could declare a caliphate in West Africa, and the money, manpower, and rivals that decide its fate.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Lessons from Ukraine's Failed 2023 Counteroffensive

Lessons from Ukraine's Failed 2023 Counteroffensive

Why Ukraine's much-hyped 2023 summer counteroffensive failed — undertrained brigades, missing breaching gear, lost surprise, and Western dithering, per RUSI.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Is Mali About to Collapse? The Coordinated Offensive That Shook Bamako

Is Mali About to Collapse? The Coordinated Offensive That Shook Bamako

A multi-city insurgent offensive killed Mali's defense minister and forced Russian forces to retreat, raising the question of whether the junta can survive.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
Mexico Is at War: The Killing of El Mencho and the CJNG's Day of Vengeance

Mexico Is at War: The Killing of El Mencho and the CJNG's Day of Vengeance

How the killing of CJNG boss El Mencho turned Jalisco into a warzone, what it means for Mexico's drug war, and the fight to come over his empire.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026
The Middle East Agrees: Iran Must Fall

The Middle East Agrees: Iran Must Fall

Nineteen days into the Iran war, Israeli strikes have killed two repression chiefs, the Gulf has turned on Tehran, and a second front rages in Lebanon.

Simon Whistler · June 2, 2026