Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Mexico Is at War: The Killing of El Mencho and the CJNG's Day of Vengeance
How the killing of CJNG boss El Mencho turned Jalisco into a warzone, what it means for Mexico's drug war, and the fight to come over his empire.
Why Ukraine Cannot Surrender the Donbas: The Fortress Belt and the Ceasefire Trap
Russia's ceasefire demands hinge on Ukraine surrendering the Donbas and its fortress belt—a concession Kyiv views as a path to a far worse war.
Haiti Between Anarchy and Autocracy: A Crisis That Keeps Getting Worse
Haiti's transitional council collapsed and an unelected, US-backed prime minister now stands alone, as a UN force prepares to deploy into gang-held streets.
Sudan's Military is on a Roll
Sudan’s army broke two sieges in seventeen days, reversing a war most analysts had written off. What changed, and what it means for the RSF.
Ukraine Is Freezing Over: How Russia Weaponizes Winter Against the Grid
Inside Ukraine's fourth winter of war, where Russian strikes on the power grid have turned subzero cold into a deliberate weapon against civilians.
South Sudan on the Brink: Nation Faces Collapse
South Sudan teeters on civil war as ethnic clashes, political purges and regional meddling threaten collapse. Oil loss and aid cuts worsen the crisis.