Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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Special Operators--Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), Pakistan
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Why Did Israeli Intelligence Fail So Disastrously on October 7?
How did Hamas's October 7 assault escape Israel's feared intelligence services? Examining the technology traps, optimism bias, and political distractions.
Will Georgia Ever Join NATO? Inside Tbilisi's Stalled Alliance Bid
Overwhelmingly pro-Western Georgia is constitutionally bound to seek NATO membership, yet its own government is sabotaging the bid. Here is why.
Could America Really Go to War with Mexico's Cartels?
Analysis of proposals for US military intervention against Mexican cartels, from missile strikes to special forces, and why the defense establishment