Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
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Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
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The Fall of Nagorno-Karabakh: Geopolitical Fallout in the South Caucasus
Analyze the fall of Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijani forces, the resulting humanitarian crisis, and the broader geopolitical impact on the South Caucasus.
Why Is Africa Suffering So Many Coups?
Analysis of the wave of military coups sweeping Africa since 2020, examining French colonial ties, economic collapse, contagion effects, and geopolitical
The Wagner Group, Evolving: Cossack Camps, Rosgvardia, and the Africa Corps
How the Wagner Group survived Prigozhin's death—folding into Russia's National Guard at home and rebranding as the Africa Corps abroad under Putin's command.
Nagorno-Karabakh: Can the World Prevent Another Caucasus War?
Explore the Nagorno-Karabakh crisis, its devastating blockade, the collapse of Russian authority, and how Turkey, Iran, and the EU shape another potential
Iran's Quds Force: The Shadow Hand of the Islamic Republic
Explore Iran's Quds Force — its origins in the Iran-Iraq War, proxy network across the Middle East, assassination plots, and rising regional influence.
Putin and North Korea: How Russia Is Becoming a Pariah State
How Russia's desperation for artillery shells is driving Putin toward North Korea, risking global isolation and shifting the balance of power in Kim Jong