Eastern Europe
Ukraine, Russia, NATO posture, deterrence, and the wider security architecture of Eastern Europe.
243 Dispatches

Caught Between Two Fires: The Collapse of the Russian Soldier's War in 2026
In spring 2026, Russian front-line troops face AI drones from Ukraine and a command that sells them out. A look at a war machine grinding down its own.

Russia's 2026 Spring Offensive: Grinding Toward Sloviansk Against the Fortress Belt
Four years and a million casualties in, Russia's 2026 spring offensive grinds on—battered recruitment, a drone-saturated kill zone, and gains measured in meters.

The Saudi-Pakistan Defense Pact: A Mutual Defense Deal Already in Doubt
Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a mutual defense pact in September. Months later, a nuclear question, an Islamic NATO debate, and an uninvoked clause cloud its future.

The Blueprint for a Second Korean War: How an Invasion of South Korea Could Unfold
A detailed analysis of how a renewed Korean War might start, the forces each side fields, the superpowers that would intervene, and the phases of an invasion.

China's Wa State, Russia's Sahel Collapse, Colombia's Slide, and the ISIS Comeback
Four flashpoints converge in 2025: China's Wa State proxy in Myanmar, Wagner's Sahel exit, Colombia's security crisis, and an ISIS resurgence in Iraq and Syria.

Germany's Rearmament, the Gaza Endgame, and the Red Sea's New Shadow War
Germany rebuilds a high-tech military, Europe and the Arab world corner Israel over Gaza, and a Houthi-al-Shabaab pact reshapes Red Sea security.

South Korea: The Disruptor Reshaping the Global Balance of Power
How South Korea's arms-export boom, deepening US and Japan ties, and surging defense industry are turning a peninsula state into a global power broker.

The Porcupine Strategy: How Taiwan Plans to Survive a Chinese Invasion
Inside Taiwan's deterrence doctrine, the Overall Defense Concept, and the war games that reveal what survival against a Chinese invasion would actually cost.

The Death of Yevgeny Prigozhin: Inside the Crash That Ended Wagner's Warlord
How Yevgeny Prigozhin's jet fell from the sky two months after his march on Moscow, who likely killed him, and what it means for the Wagner Group.

The Greenland Takeover That Isn't Necessary: Why America Already Controls the Island
Trump is threatening to seize Greenland by force, but treaties and geography mean the US already controls the island — making annexation strategically pointless.

The Interceptor Gap: How America's Missile Defenses Ran Dry
A few weeks of war with Iran burned through interceptors faster than the global production base can replace in years, exposing a hollowed-out supply chain.

The Sahel at War: When the Government Is Worse Than the Jihadists
Across Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso, military juntas backed by Russian mercenaries are killing more civilians than the al-Qaeda insurgency they claim to fight.
