Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
More in Conflicts & Crises
Mozambique Is Burning: How Cabo Delgado Became One of the World's Worst Forgotten Conflicts
How a local insurgency in Mozambique's Cabo Delgado evolved into an ISIS-affiliated conflict killing 6,100+ and displacing 700,000 people.
Countries at Risk of Gen-Z Revolution: Where Youth Uprisings May Strike Next
Analysis of Gen-Z protest movements across the Global South. Examines risks in Madagascar, Kenya, Nigeria, and India where youth uprisings may strike next.
Why Russia's 2025 Summer Offensive Is Failing to Achieve Decisive Breakthroughs
Despite manpower advantages, Russia's 2025 summer offensive has yielded minimal gains at the cost of catastrophic troop casualties across the Donbas.
The Gaza Ceasefire Is Fragile and May Break Down: Here's Why
Analysis of why the Gaza ceasefire is unstable: Israeli escalations, Hamas's refusal to disarm, Netanyahu's coalition politics, and irreconcilable demands.
Is Ethiopia At War Again? The Escalating Fano Insurgency in Amhara Region
Explore the escalating Fano insurgency in Ethiopia's Amhara region, its causes, military gains, and risks of multi-front conflict.
Pakistan and Afghanistan on the Brink of War: A Complete Breakdown of the 2025 Border Crisis
October 2025 Pakistan-Afghanistan military confrontation: airstrikes on Kabul, border clashes, casualties, ceasefire details, and escalation risks explaine