Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
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Iran's Attack on Israel: Is the Middle East About to Go to War?
Analysis of Iran's unprecedented drone and missile attack on Israel in April 2024, its tactical outcomes, historical context, and risk of wider Middle
Sudan: The Proxy War the World Is Ignoring
How Sudan's civil war became a proxy conflict involving Iran, Russia, UAE, and Ukraine — and why its collapse could reshape geopolitics for decades.
Could Europe Get its Own Nuclear Deterrent?
This analysis examines Could Europe Get its Own Nuclear Deterrent? in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded, which
Donetsk and Luhansk: Putin's Puppet States
This analysis examines Donetsk and Luhansk: Putin's Puppet States in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded, which
The Danab Brigade: Somalia's Elite Commando Force Fighting al-Shabaab
Discover how Somalia's Danab Brigade, trained by US Navy SEALs and Bancroft, acts as the elite tip of the spear against the al-Shabaab insurgency.
Myanmar's Civil War: Military Coups, Ethnic Rebellions, and the Battle for Democracy
Explore the roots of Myanmar's civil war, from British colonial rule and military coups to the Rohingya genocide and the 2021 uprising against the junta.