Conflicts & Crises
Current and recent conflicts, escalation risks, and battlefield updates.
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A New Myanmar Is Emerging: How a Stalemated Civil War Became a Victory for Beijing
After five years of war, Myanmar's rebellion is fracturing, the Tatmadaw is regaining ground, and the only real winner sits across the border in China.
Pakistan Besieged: How the Balochistan Insurgency and Afghan War Are Converging at Once
Pakistan faces a hardened Baloch insurgency, an undeclared war with Afghanistan, the TTP, and IMF dependency—all at the same time, with no clean exit.
Has Israel Bitten Off More Than It Can Chew? The Strain of a Seven-Front War
Israel's near-continuous war across seven fronts is exposing manpower shortages, interceptor depletion, and a coalition collapse over the draft and settler violence.
Iran's Sleeper Cells Weren't Real. The Alternative Is Worse.
Iran's threatened sleeper cells never materialized during the Iran War. What emerged instead was a gig-economy sabotage campaign that's harder to stop.
Will the RSF Defections End the War in Sudan?
As founding RSF commanders defect to Sudan's army with men, weapons, and intelligence, the SAF gains its best chance to break the stalemate — at a steep moral cost.
Cuba at Zero Day: How a Fuel Collapse Became Washington's Next Regime-Change Gamble
Cuba has run out of fuel as the US tightens a post-Maduro squeeze, indicts Raúl Castro, and courts his grandson for a negotiated transition.
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The Chinese Navy: A New Goliath
This analysis examines The Chinese Navy: A New Goliath in historical and strategic context. It traces how the core developments unfolded, which institution
The Houthi Rebels Are Getting Much More Dangerous — Here's Why
How Houthi rebels escalated from maritime harassment to sinking ships and killing sailors, threatening global trade through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.
The Al-Rashid Incident: Tragic Accident or Deliberate Massacre in Gaza?
A forensic look at the February 29, 2024 aid-convoy deaths on Gaza's Al-Rashid Street, where over 100 died and accounts split between stampede and massacre.
Is Ukraine About to Suffer a Catastrophic Defeat?
Analysis of whether Ukraine faces a Kharkiv-style collapse as Russian forces advance post-Avdiivka, examining fortification gaps, manpower shortages, and
Avdiivka Has Fallen — Can Ukraine Still Win the War?
After nearly a decade of resistance, Avdiivka fell to Russian forces. What caused the collapse, what comes next, and what the West must do now.
America vs. Iran's Proxies: The Tower 22 Strike and the Widening Middle East War
Inside the US retaliation for the Tower 22 drone attack, the Red Sea air campaign against the Houthis, and the slow pull toward a wider Middle East war.