Geopolitics & Strategy
Alliance dynamics, power competition, sanctions, and strategic posture.
242 articlesLatest
Putin's Desperation Moves: Symbolic Strikes on Kyiv and the Latvia Gambit
With Ukraine ascendant in drone warfare, a cornered Putin weighs two high-risk gambits—decapitation strikes on Kyiv and a probing attack on NATO's Latvia.
Can Japan Stop China? Tokyo's Remilitarization and the Race for Asia
As Washington's commitment to Asia wavers, Japan under PM Takaichi is rearming and building a regional coalition to check Chinese dominance. Can it work?
Who Russia Invades Next: The Case Against Armenia and Georgia
As Putin runs out of options in Ukraine, two vulnerable Caucasus states sit in Russia's sights. We weigh the case for an invasion of Armenia versus Georgia.
The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke — For Now
How the 2026 Iran war shattered the Gulf states' fantasy of safety, and the long road to rebuilding their parade-ground militaries into real fighting forces.
North Korea's Dead Hand: How Pyongyang Is Trying to Trump-Proof Its Regime
North Korea amended its constitution to launch its nuclear forces automatically if Kim Jong Un is killed. What a "dead hand" clause means for war on the peninsula.
NATO's Turkey Problem: Ankara's Drift Toward Strategic Independence
Turkey's first ICBM, its booming arms industry, and its cold war with Israel are widening NATO's most awkward fault line under Erdogan.
More in Geopolitics & Strategy
The Complete History of the Iranian Nuclear Crisis: From Cold War Origins to the JCPOA Collapse
Discover the complete history of Iran's nuclear program, examining its Cold War origins, the 1979 Revolution, the JCPOA collapse, and current enrichment
How Can Ukraine Protect Itself After the War? A Strategic Analysis
Explore the strategic options for post-war Ukraine, from NATO security guarantees and the Taiwan porcupine model to Korean DMZ-style active deterrence.
The Autocratic Social Contract: How Dictators Hold on to Power
Explore how autocratic leaders like Vladimir Putin, Mohammed bin Salman, and Xi Jinping use informal social contracts to suppress dissent and maintain
South Korea's Six-Hour Martial Law Crisis: What Happened and Why It Matters
President Yoon declared martial law on Dec 3, 2024, but the opposition-controlled National Assembly reversed it within hours. What happened and why it matt
Converging Crises: Failed Brazilian Coups, Wagner Defeats, and Escalating Unrest
An in-depth geopolitical analysis of twin coup plots in Brazil, the Wagner Group's repeated ambushes in Mali, dynastic clashes in the Philippines, and
China's Man-Made Islands in the South China Sea Are Sinking: A Strategic Gamble Unraveling
China's artificial islands in the South China Sea face structural decay, rising seas, and typhoons. A strategic gamble unraveling.